That boom you heard is Southwest Florida building industry: It’s back

By JUNE FLETCHER | Sunday, October 27, 2013 | NAPLES

Though new homes are being built at a furious pace, real estate market analysts say they aren’t making a dent in Southwest Florida’s housing shortage.

Shelton Weeks, chairman of the department of economics and finance at Florida Gulf Coast University south of Fort Myers, said the surge is driven by the fact that home prices finally have risen above building replacement costs.

But he doesn’t expect new construction will occur fast enough to have a big effect on the resale market for at least two years.

“I don’t think it will take the edge off,” he said. “I expect a healthy market, but inventory will remain tight.”

The latest statistics from MetroStudy show that for the second quarter, annual housing starts were up nearly 42.8 percent in Collier County and 40.7 percent in Lee County from the same period a year earlier.

The firm expects housing starts to continue to increase steadily for the rest of the year.

But new home inventory still remains extremely tight at below-normal ranges: 1.2 months in Collier County and 1.3 months in Lee, the research firm said.

Meanwhile, builders are underscoring their confidence that the boom will continue by taking out new permits.

In August, they were up 30 percent year-to-date compared with the same period a year earlier in Collier County and 42 percent in Lee, the National Association of Home Builders said.

Naples real estate broker Brenda Fioretti notes that builders are building in every price range and location — except the beach, where land is scarce. Many wealthy buyers are buying an older home for its land value, tearing it down and building a custom “dream home,” she said.

Since new homes generally are more expensive than existing ones, that’s pushing some would-be new home buyers into the resale market, real estate agents say.

Currently there are more than 45 active new home communities from Estero to south Collier County, the web site Newconsearch.com says. Others will be launched soon.

Here’s a sampling of what’s available:

* * * * *

Bonita Lakes clubhouse

The clubhouse at Bonita Lakes will include a resort-style swiming pool and a separate shallow splash zone. There also will be a Har-Tru bocce ball court and lighted Har-Tru tennis courts. photo: Naples News

Ground-breaking for the clubhouse of this gated community took place in September. About 45 homes are in various stages of permitting and construction. Ten of the home designs have first-floor master suites.

■ Builder and developer: Toll Brothers
■ When started: Fall 2012
■ Number of homes when completed: 268
■ Amenities: Two pools, bocce and tennis courts, recreational facilities
■ Project size: 120 acres
■ Types of homes: One- and two-story villa and estate homes
■ Price range: Low $300,000 to upper $500,000
■ Square footage: 2,058 to 4,354

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2013/sep/01/toll-brothers-holds-ground-breaking-for-at-lakes/

Camden Lakes, 16088 Camden Lakes Circle, North Naples

Grand opening of models will take place Nov. 2, but 15 percent of the homes have been presold. Homes are targeted to move-up buyers and empty nesters. The project is expected to be completed in 2014.

■ Builder and developer: Pulte Homes
■ When started: July 2013
■ Number of homes when completed: 150
■ Amenities: Heated pool; fitness center; half-court basketball; community gathering room; catering kitchen; outdoor barbecue grill; fire pit; pavilion, and covered verandah
■ Project size in acres: 60
■ Types of homes: 150 single-family homes
■ Price range: high $200,000s to low $600,000s
■ Square footage: 1,750 to 3,500

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2013/jul/28/pulte-starts-construction-of-3-models-at-camden/

Esplanade at Hacienda Lakes, 8625 Collier Blvd., Naples
■ Land clearing began in mid-summer for the first residential parcel within the new 2,262-acre master planned community Hacienda Lakes. Built by Taylor Morrison, the 153-acre project will be called Esplanade at Hacienda Lakes. Pricing and home designs haven’t been set.
■ Builder: Taylor Morrison; developer: Hacienda Lakes LLC
■ When started: Models will open in early 2014
■ Number of homes when completed: 443
■ Project size: 153 acres
■ Types of homes: Villas and single-family homes with two or three bedrooms and two-car garages
■ Amenities: The master-planned community eventually will include clubhouses, sports courts, pet park, retail, offices, a hotel, a business park and a public school. About 1,500 acres will be preserve land.

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2013/oct/20/clearing-underway-for-hacienda-lakes-first/

Isles of Collier Preserve, southwest corner of Bayshore and Thomasson drives, Naples

On the edge of Rookery Bay, the 2,400-acre master-planned community once known as Sabal Palm will preserve half of the land. Homes will have an Old Florida design.

■ Builder and developer: Minto Communities
■ When started: January 2013; seven models opening January 2014
■ Estimated buildout: 2024
■ Number of homes when completed: 1,600
■ Amenities: Clubhouse, pool, hiking and biking trails, kayak launch
■ Project size: 2,400 acres
■ Types of homes: Single-family and coach homes to start; later estate homes and multifamily will be built.
■ Price range: low $400,000s to mid $700,000s
■ Square footage: 1,621 to 3,995

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2013/sep/09/groundwork-isles-of-collier-preserve-taking-on/

Maple Ridge at Ave Maria, 5000 Avila Ave.

The single-family homes are targeted to families; 50 have sold during preconstruction. Eight models will soon open; 10 different floor plans are offered with three-to-six bedrooms. Some lots have lake views.

■ Builder: CC Devco; developer: Ave Maria Development/Barron Collier Cos.
■ When started: June 2013
■ Number of homes completed: Four out of eight models will open in November, and four more by year’s end
■ Number of homes when completed: 1,500
■ Amenities: Clubhouse, 18-hole golf course, water park, lakes, sidewalks, parks, bocce and pickle-ball courts, amphitheater, picnic pavilions, playing fields, walking and bike paths
■ Project size: 618 acres
■ Types of homes: Two single-family collections with two- and three-car garages
■ Price range: Low $200,000s to mid-$300,000s, pre-construction
■ Square footage: 1,935 to 4,032

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2013/aug/25/8-model-homes-underway-in-maple-ridge-at-ave/

Mirasol at Coconut Point, 8570 Evernia Court, Bonita Springs

The first phase of seven buildings in this community is sold out, as are four of six new buildings under construction. Buildout is anticipated in three years. About half of the homes have been sold.

■ Builder and developer: D.R. Horton
■ When started: September 2012
■ Number of homes completed: Seven buildings comprising 48 units
■ Number of homes when completed: 200
■ Project size: 23 acres
■ Types of homes: Two- and three-bedroom condos and townhouses, with one- or two-car garages
■ Amenities: Pool, hot tub, rock waterfall, fitness center, game room, community room
■ Price range: high $100,000s to mid $200,000s
■ Square footage: 1,244 to 1,655

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2012/nov/09/big-land-deals-again-big-deal-in-southwest-says/

Talis Park, 16980 Livingston Road, North Naples

Former NFL player Syd Kitson and his partners bought the former Tuscany Reserve in 2011. Now 12 builders are creating homes along the Greg Norman/Pete Dye golf course. By January, phase one of the clubhouse, seven new models and 20 ready-to-move homes should be ready. The project should be built out in 2017. Ten percent of the homes have been sold.

■ Builders: Borelli Construction, Distinctive Communities, Divco Construction Corp., Fox Custom Builders, Gulfshore Homes, Harbourside Custom Homes, Harwick Homes, Imperial Homes of Southwest Florida, McGarvey Custom Homes, Randall Mitchell Companies, Sunwest Homes and Van Emmerik Custom Homes.
■ Developer: Kitson & Partners
■ When started: October 2012
■ Number of homes completed: 25
■ Number of homes when completed: 590
■ Project size: 461 acres
■ Types of homes: Villas and single-family homes
■ Amenities: 18-hole golf course, walking trails, bocce and tennis courts, pool, spa
■ Price range: $700,000 to more than $5 million
■ Square footage: 2,600 to 17,000

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2013/apr/08/develop-kitson-revive-talis-park-collier-county/

Treviso Bay, 9800 Treviso Bay Blvd., Naples

■ The clubhouse and sports center are near completion. Lennar Homes is building condos to executive homes ranging from the low $200,000s to the upper $600,000s; Stock Construction will build 26 luxury homes in the first phase.
■ Developer: Lennar Homes
■ Project size: 1,050 acres
■ Amenities: Arthur Hills/Hal Sutton designed golf course, bocce and tennis courts, lakeside beach, clubhouse and sports center
■ Price range: Low $200,000s to millions

http://www.naplesnews.com/news/2013/sep/29/villa-rilissare-clubhouse-in-treviso-bay-nears/

Colony Golf and Bay Club, 4541 Coconut Road, Bonita Springs

This project is a gated condominium community within the Pelican Landing master-planned community.

■ Builder and developer: WCI Communities
■ When started: 2012
■ Number of homes completed: 825
■ Number of homes when completed: 1,352
■ Project size: 809 acres
■ Type of homes: Mid-rise condominiums
■ Amenities: Clubhouse with formal and casual dining; spa and fitness center; pool; tennis pavilion; beach park
■ Price range: Mid-$400,000s to mid-$640,000s
■ Square footage: 2,100 to 2,900

http://www.wcicommunities.com/colony-golf-bay-club/

Valencia at Spanish Wells, 28474 Tasca Drive, Bonita Springs

A model is under construction at this gated neighborhood, which is part of the Spanish Wells Golf and Country Club. Residents will have privileges at the Tarpon Cove Yacht and Racquet Club in North Naples.

■ Builder and developer: Toll Brothers
■ When started: July 2013
■ Number of homes when completed: 128
■ Project size: 54 acres
■ Types of homes: Single-family, all with a first-floor master suite
■ Amenities: 27-hole golf course, tennis center, pools, clubhouse, fitness center; yacht-club access
■ Percentage of homes sold: Not yet open for sales
■ Price range: $300,000s to $500,000s
■ Square footage: 2,000 to 3,000 square feet

http://www.naplesnews.com/blogs/bonita-and-beyond-jim-boeglin/2013/oct/11/housing/

More About Buying A Home:
The Housing Market Continues to Progress
Amid Falling Foreclosure Rates and Rising Prices, Trade-Up Buyers Are Coming Back

Late Summer Sales Keep September Prices Hot

By Steve Cook | RISMEDIA, Wednesday, October 09, 2013

house in floridaHome price gains in September rose over record August levels, evidence of residual summer buying activity, according to the first market report of the month to be released.

All regions saw small up-ticks in yearly price gains as Clear Capital’s Home Data Index (HDI) Market Report said September prices rose to 10.9 percent year-over-year. In August, national yearly home price growth reached 10.2 percent , the last time Clear Capital reported double digit yearly price growth since the middle of 2006, the height of the bubble.

Clear Capital’s August prices remained 32.5 percent off their previous highs and only in line with 2002 prices. Additionally, the low tier price segment of the housing market saw quarterly gains of 2.0 percent, the lowest since April 2012, indicating the sector that kick started the recovery is already on a path of moderation. From its peak rate of growth in April 2013, rates of growth for the low tier segment, or home sale values in the bottom 25th percentile, have fallen from 4.1 percent to 2.0 percent.

“While national and regional rates showed more of the same in September, an interesting dichotomy is unfolding beneath the surface,” says Dr. Alex Villacorta, vice president of research and analytics at Clear Capital. “Strong performances in San Francisco and Detroit remind us that in a dynamic market, the only constant is change. For about a year and a half now, we’ve been focused on First-In, First-Out recoveries characterized by hard hit markets attracting investor interest, like Miami, Phoenix and Las Vegas. Now as the recovery matures, we see homebuyers re-engaging in markets that haven’t fit the typical investor profile.

“As demand calibrates to local economic environments, markets will start to find their natural equilibriums with moderating gains ahead. This should invite new markets, such as San Francisco and Detroit to share the spotlight as their recoveries continue to evolve,” he says.

For more information, visit www.realestateeconomywatch.com.

Amid Falling Foreclosure Rates and Rising Prices, Trade-Up Buyers Are Coming Back

RISMEDIA, Friday, September 13, 2013— With foreclosure sales in rapid decline nationwide and in high demand in many fast-rising markets, a report released this week by mortgage technology company FNC indicates that housing demand by trade-up buyers is rising as the home equity available to these prospective buyers is improving.

According to FNC’s Foreclosure Market Report,  the foreclosure market has rapidly improved in recent months with foreclosure rates approaching pre-crisis levels—an indication of strengthening supply-side conditions. On the demand side, steadily rising home prices and an expectation of continued recovery have stimulated housing turnover by prospective buyers who are in a position to take advantage of low home prices. In the meantime, higher home prices are bringing out trade-up demand from existing homeowners who are experiencing rising home equity, which supports a down payment on their next bigger house.

“We’ve seen hard data from the past 18 months that shows rising home prices and a foreclosure market with diminished impact due to decreasing foreclosure inventories and fewer new foreclosure filings,” said FNC Director of Research Yanling Mayer. “Meanwhile, a very encouraging trend that has been developing is the rising participation of trade-up buyers who are seeing improving home equity position and positive capital appreciation on existing homes.

“An important sign of a healthy and sustainable recovery is increased housing turnover driven by trade-up buying, which is more or less discretionary spending,” Mayer said. “These buyers are typically more responsive to market conditions and financial incentives.”

FNC’s report shows that foreclosure price discounts, which compare a foreclosed home’s estimated market value to the price paid by investors or home buyers, have dropped to a 10-year low at about 8.1% in Q2 2013, down from 12.5% a year ago. At the height of the mortgage crisis in 2008 and 2009, foreclosed homes were typically sold at close to 25% below their estimated market value. In many fast-rising markets, such as Phoenix, Las Vegas, and California, investor activity and low foreclosure inventory drove foreclosure prices up, frequently resulting in a price premium relative to estimated market value.

FNC publishes the mortgage industry’s first market-value based foreclosure price discount to gauge the degree of market distress. For more information about the foreclosure price discount, please refer to FNC’s March 2011 report located here.

According to the FNC report, investing in foreclosed property continues to be profitable with gross capital appreciation – the annualized percentage difference between a foreclosed property’s sales price and subsequent resale price – averaged at 7.8% on sales of homes previously purchased at foreclosure sales. In the meantime, ownership duration on distressed investment is up, along with the average ownership duration of all existing home sales.

More highlights from FNC’s Foreclosure Market Report:

• Single-family REO and foreclosure sales are 12.2% of total home sales as of July, down from 17.3% a year ago.
• The median foreclosure price is $98,000 or $67 per square foot, up 6.8% since the housing recovery began 18 months ago. In comparison, the median price on non-foreclosure sales is $205,000 or $118 per square foot, up 21.7% during the same 18-month period.
• Foreclosure price discounts are typically larger for low-tier properties, averaging 13.7% in Q2 2013. One in four homes continues to be discounted heavily. High-end properties, on the other hand, are typically sold close to their market value.
• At 86% of total foreclosure sales, low-tier properties continue to account for the bulk of foreclosure sales. Prior to the housing bubble, low-tier homes contributed more than 90% to foreclosure sales.
• Collateral depreciation on foreclosure sales – the difference between a property’s prior purchase price and foreclosure sale price – continues to decelerate, down to 3.8% in Q2 2013 from 6.4% a year earlier. Among the re-sales of non-distressed homes, for 16 consecutive months the median home is sold at a price above its prior purchase price – enabling potential trade-up buyers to capture a small capital appreciation.
• Despite declining foreclosure rates, Michigan continues to be the nation’s most distressed market with one in three homes sold during Q2 2013 being foreclosed properties.
• Arizona, California, Nevada, and Oregon have seen the fastest declines in foreclosure rates in the ongoing recovery, down respectively from 30.7%, 33.4%, 44.9%, and 24.2% entering 2012 to 11.9%, 12.4%, 15.3%, and 7.2% by Q2 2013. At 3.2% of total home sales, the District of Columbia has the lowest foreclosure rate.
• States with continued high foreclosure rates include Alabama, Illinois, Michigan, Ohio, Rhode Island, South Carolina, and Tennessee. More notably, foreclosure rates in Alabama, Illinois, Indiana, and Kentucky are trending steadily upward in recent months, dampening home prices.
• Among the largest housing markets (MSAs), New York, Boston, Portland, San Francisco, and Washington D.C. have the lowest foreclosure rates at 4.3%, 5.4%, 6.8%, 7.0%, and 8.3%, respectively, compared to a national average of 14.8% in Q2 2013. In contrast, Detroit, Chicago, Cleveland, Atlanta, and Cincinnati have the highest foreclosure rates at 34.7%, 27.1%, 24.3%, 19.4%, and 19.3%, respectively.
• Of the cities identified by the Federal Reserve Board as the largest REO inventory markets entering 2012, Los Angeles, Phoenix, and Riverside, CA., have since improved and are in strong recovery. The recovery in Atlanta is on par with the national trend and in the 18-month period, home prices are up 9.8%; foreclosure rates are down from 32.0% to 19.4%; and the foreclosure price discount is down from 18.8% to 8.7%. Conditions in Detroit are improving despite continued high foreclosure rates. Chicago, however, lags behind the rest of the country in the ongoing recovery – foreclosure rates are elevated at about 27%, contributing to the continued weakness of home prices.

For more information visit http://www.fncrpi.com.

More About Buying A Home:
That boom you heard is Southwest Florida building industry: It’s back
Area home prices to jump by double-digits in next year, research group says

Existing-Home Sales Rise 6.5% in July

Double Digits Remain on Median Home Prices

house Florida 117639949RISMEDIA, Thursday, August 22, 2013

U.S. existing-home sales rose strongly in July, jumping to their highest level in almost four years—with the median price maintaining double-digit year-over-year increases, according to data released yesterday morning by the National Association of REALTORS®.

Total existing-home sales, which are completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops, increased 6.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.39 million in July from a downwardly revised 5.06 million in June, and are 17.2 percent above the 4.60 million-unit pace in July 2012; sales have remained above year-ago levels for 25 months.

Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says changes in affordability are impacting the market. “Mortgage interest rates are at the highest level in two years, pushing some buyers off the sidelines,” he says. “The initial rise in interest rates provided strong incentive for closing deals. However, further rate increases will diminish the pool of eligible buyers.”

Despite higher mortgage interest rates, Yun identified compensating factors that can sustain a continued recovery. “Although housing affordability conditions will become less attractive, jobs are being added to the economy, and mortgage underwriting standards should normalize over time from current stringent conditions as default rates fall.”

According to Freddie Mac, the national average commitment rate for a 30-year, conventional, fixed-rate mortgage rose to 4.37 percent in July from 4.07 percent in June, and is the highest since July 2011 when it was 4.55 percent; the rate was 3.55 percent in July 2012.

Total housing inventory at the end of July rose 5.6 percent to 2.28 million existing homes available for sale, which represents a 5.1-month supply at the current sales pace, unchanged from June. Listed inventory is 5.0 percent below a year ago, when there was a 6.3-month supply.

“Tight inventory in many areas means above-normal price growth for the foreseeable future,” Yun says.

The national median existing-home price3 for all housing types was $213,500 in July, which is 13.7 percent above July 2012. This marks 17 consecutive months of year-over-year price increases, which last occurred from January 2005 to May 2006.

The median price has risen at double-digit rates for the past eight months, and is now 7.3 percent below the all-time record of $230,400 in July 2006. Two years ago, the median price was 25.7 percent below the peak.

Distressed homes – foreclosures and short sales – accounted for 15 percent of July sales, the same as in June and matching the lowest share since monthly tracking began in October 2008; they were 24 percent in July 2012. Continuing declines in the share of distressed sales account for some of the price gain.

Nine percent of July sales were foreclosures, and 6 percent were short sales. Foreclosures sold for an average discount of 16 percent below market value in July, while short sales were discounted 12 percent.

The median time on market for all homes was 42 days in July, up from 37 days in June, but is 39 percent faster than the 69 days on market in July 2012. Short sales were on the market for a median of 72 days, while foreclosures typically sold in 50 days and non-distressed homes took 40 days. Forty-five percent of homes sold in July were on the market for less than a month.

Data from realtor.com, NAR’s listing site, shows the tightest inventory conditions, reported as median age of inventory, are in Oakland, Calif., 20 days; Denver, 31 days; and the Seattle area, 36 days. First-time buyers accounted for 29 percent of purchases in July, unchanged from June, but are down from 34 percent in July 2012. All-cash sales comprised 31 percent of transactions in July, the same as in June; they were 27 percent in July 2012. Individual investors, who account for many cash sales, purchased 16 percent of homes in July, down from 17 percent in June; they reached a cyclical peak of 22 percent in February of this year.

NAR President Gary Thomas, broker-owner of Evergreen Realty in Villa Park, Calif., says more repeat buyers are using cash. “The overall percentage of cash purchases has been fairly steady, as has the share of first-time buyers, but the investor share has been trending down since February. This means more repeat buyers are using cash in this tight-credit environment,” he says. “With a steady decline in lower priced inventory, particularly in foreclosures, investors are finding fewer bargains to buy.”

Single-family home sales rose 6.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.76 million in July from 4.48 million in June, and are 16.4 percent higher than the 4.09 million-unit level in July 2012. The median existing single-family home price was $214,000 in July, up 13.5 percent from a year ago.

Existing condominium and co-op sales increased 8.6 percent to an annual rate of 630,000 units in July from 580,000 in June, and are 23.5 percent above the 510,000-unit pace a year ago. The median existing condo price was $209,600 in July, which is 15.5 percent higher than July 2012.

Regionally, existing-home sales in the Northeast surged 12.7 percent to an annual rate of 710,000 in July and are 20.3 percent above July 2012. The median price in the Northeast was $271,200, up 6.7 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the Midwest rose 5.8 percent in July to a pace of 1.28 million, and are 20.8 percent higher than a year ago. The median price in the Midwest was $168,300, which is 9.5 percent above July 2012.

In the South, existing-home sales increased 5.0 percent to an annual level of 2.11 million in July and are 16.6 percent above July 2012. The median price in the South was $183,400, up 13.6 percent from a year ago.

Existing-home sales in the West rose 6.6 percent to a pace of 1.29 million in July and are 13.2 percent higher than a year ago. The median price in the West, driven the most by a supply imbalance, was $287,500, which is 19.2 percent above July 2012.

Copyright© 2013 RISMedia, The Leader in Real Estate Information Systems and Real Estate News. All Rights Reserved. This material may not be republished without permission.

More About Buying A Home:
June Existing-Home Sales Reach Recent Highs
Second Quarter Housing Activity Confirms Stable Market

Housing Prices Rise in Spite of Mortgage Rate Rise

The housing market is still gaining strength even in the face of recent home loan rate increases. Housing starts were up 5.9% annualized from June to July. Building permits, rose 2.7%,better than anticipated. National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index rose in August to its best level in almost 8 years.

July Retail Sales were up for the 4th month in a row.  In the labor market, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 320,000, the lowest since October 2007.

Inflation (both wholesale and consumer) has stayed moderate.

More About Buying A Home:
Existing-Home Sales Rise 6.5% in July
Naples Makes Top 10 Turnaround List

The Housing Market Continues to Progress

Core Logic Home Price Index chart

Table Source: Mortgage Success Source

Last week, CoreLogic reported that home prices across the U.S. rose by nearly 12 percent from June 2012 to June 2013. By comparison, home prices only rose 3.76 percent from June 2011 to June 2012. In addition, research and analytics firm Clear Capital said that prices rose 9.3 percent in the year ending in July.

While housing markets have turned the corner, this pace of growth may be unsustainable. With home loan rates rising over the past several months, this rate of appreciation could slow.

Weekly Initial Jobless Claims rose by 5,000 in the latest week to 333,000, below the 340,000 expected. This followed the Jobs Report for July, somewhat disappointing with less jobs created than expected.

What does this mean for home loan rates? When will the Fed start tapering its bond purchases? The Fed has been buying $85 billion of bonds a month to help stimulate the economy and housing market. This includes mortgage bonds, to which home loan rates are tied, and these purchases have helped home loan rates remain attractive.

The Fed has said the rate of its purchases will continue to depend on economic data and could be increased or decreased accordingly. Last week, several Fed members spoke out in favor of tapering these purchases as early as the Fed’s meeting in mid-September. However, with our economy growing at sub 2 percent, economic data between now and September will be a key factor in this decision.

Home loan rates remain attractive compared to historical levels and now remains a great time to consider a home purchase or refinance.

From Weekly Update by Quy Huynh

More About Buying A Home:
Housing Prices Rise in Spite of Mortgage Rate Rise
Amid Falling Foreclosure Rates and Rising Prices, Trade-Up Buyers Are Coming Back