RISMEDIA, Wednesday, July 23, 2014
During the month of June, existing-home sales reached an annual pace of 5 million sales for the first time since October 2013, according to data recently released by the National Association of REALTORS®. In addition to the heightened existing-home sales, rising inventory continued to move the housing supply forward, signaling a strengthened and more balanced market.
Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, says housing fundamentals are moving in the right direction. “Inventories are at their highest level in over a year and price gains have slowed to much more welcoming levels in many parts of the country. This bodes well for rising home sales in the upcoming months as consumers are provided with more choices,” he says. “On the contrary, new home construction needs to rise by at least 50 percent for a complete return to a balanced market because supply shortages—particularly in the West—are still putting upward pressure on prices.” Read the full article
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Existing-Home Sales Rise 6.5% in July
Shadow Inventory Down 28 Percent from 2010 Peak
Naples Area Board of REALTORS | Naples, Fla. (July 18, 2014)
Positive activity within various pockets of Naples area real estate contributes to a stable market overall in the second quarter of 2014 as indicated in a report released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island).
“The statistics show key indicators of a stable real estate market in the Naples area with no real significant gains or losses overall in the Second Quarter 2014 compared to the Second Quarter 2013,” said NABOR® president and corporate trainer at Downing-Frye Realty Pat Pitocchi. Our statistics, comparing the second quarter 2013 to the second quarter 2014, show that:
- Overall Pending Sales are down 8 percent from 3,197 to 2,949;
- Overall Closed Sales are down 4 percent from 3,165 to 3,054;
- Overall Median Closed Price is up 10 percent from $249,000 to $273,000;
- Overall Inventory is down 9 percent from 4,086 to 3,723; This has been a good, strong quarter.”
Overall, the luxury segment of the market improved with 156 closed sales over $2 million in the second quarter, up 42 percent from the same time last year. Single-family homes in the $2 million and above market rose 44 percent from 68 to 98 closed sales quarter over quarter and condos in the $2 million and above market rose 38 percent from 42 to 58 closed sales, same time period. Confidence in the market combined with appealing inventory has increased the number of high-end buyers.
Another key indicator of a stable housing market is that conventional financing is making a comeback. According to the report, in June 2014, 37.5 percent of homes sales were financed with conventional mortgages vs. cash in June 2014. That’s up 10 percent compared to January 2013 when conventional financing was 27 percent of the market.
The NABOR® Second Quarter 2014 Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. The NABOR® Second Quarter 2014 sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings:
- Overall pending sales decreased 8 percent from 3,197 in the Second Quarter 2013 to 2,949 in the Second Quarter 2014. A 14 percent decrease in the $300,000 and under price category and 6 percent decrease in the $1 to $2 million price category weighted this figure.
- Pending sales for condominiums decreased 7 percent from 1,626 in Second Quarter 2013 to 1,510 in Second Quarter 2014, with reductions reported in all price categories.
- Overall closed sales increased 11 percent for homes priced above $500,000.
- Overall closed sales for homes in the $2 million and above market increased 42 percent from 110 in the Second Quarter 2013 to 156 in the Second Quarter 2014.
- Closed sales for single family homes $300,000 and under decreased 23 percent from 677 in the Second Quarter 2013 to 521 in the Second Quarter 2014.
- The overall median closed price increased 10 percent from $249,000 in Second Quarter 2013 to
$273,000 in Second Quarter 2014.
- The overall median closed price decreased 4 percent for homes $1 million to $2 million from
$1,387,000 in Second Quarter 2013 to $1,325,000 Second Quarter 2014
- The median closed price for single-family homes in the $2 million and above category decreased 15 percent from $3,225,000 in Second Quarter 2013 to $2,750,000 in Second Quarter 2014.
- Overall inventory decreased 9 percent from 4,086 homes in Second Quarter 2013 to 3,723 homes Second Quarter 2014.
- Inventory in the single family home market increased 4 percent from 1,896 in Second Quarter 2013 to 1,964 in Second Quarter 2014.
- Inventory of condominiums decreased 20 percent from 2,190 condominiums in Second Quarter 2013 to 1,759 condominiums in Second Quarter 2013.
- The overall average days on market are at 94 for Second Quarter 2014.
“There is an influx of new construction, which is adding to the inventory,” said Brenda Fioretti, Managing Broker at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Florida Realty. “It should be said, however, the Southwest Florida MLS does not report activity in the new home construction market.”
Analysts at NABOR® explain that market stabilization is further evident as reflected in the Second Quarter 2014 Market Report wherein only 9 percent of all closed sales in June 2014 were non-traditional (short sale or foreclosed). Comparatively, in July 2009, when NABOR® began collecting this data, 49 percent of sales were non traditional.
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NABOR First Quarter Report Indicates 2014 Off to a Strong Start
The Housing Market Continues to Progress
By JUNE FLETCHER | Wednesday, June 4, 2014
NAPLES — Single-family home prices in Naples-Marco Island are the highest in Florida — and still have room to run, researcher Local Market Monitor said.
Prices in Cape Coral-Fort Myers also will stay on a tear for the next few years, the Cary, N.C.-based firm forecast.
Ingo Winzer, the firm’s president, is bullish on Southwest Florida because of strong job growth, particularly in tourism and retail; incomes that rank among the highest in Florida; and continued interest from investors.
“Combine speculative interest with good fundamental economic demand and you have a lot of people who want to buy property,” he said Wednesday.
In its residential real estate report for the second quarter, Local Market Monitor said single-family home prices for the Naples area reached a median of $276,086, the highest in any of the 20 cities they tracked in Florida. That’s an 8 percent bump from the same quarter a year earlier.
Cape Coral-Fort Myers was ninth on the list, with prices reaching a median of $184,976 for the quarter, a 12 percent jump from the year before.
Both markets will experience double-digit growth over the coming year, Local Market Monitor predicted.
Prices in Naples-Marco Island are expected to rise an additional 11 percent by the second quarter of 2015, while Cape Coral-Fort Myers will rise another 12 percent.
By the second quarter of 2017, cumulative price increases for the three-year period will have reached 29 percent in Naples-Marco Island and 31 percent in Cape Coral-Fort Myers.
Despite the predicted increases, Winzer is confident Southwest Florida isn’t headed for bubble territory.
Given rising demand and the healthy local economy, “prices are 20 percent lower than they ought to be,” he said.
More About Buying A Home:
Naples Makes Top 10 Turnaround List
Benefits of Real Estate Investment vs. Stocks and Bonds
A service from the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® | Naples, Fla. (April 17, 2014)
Million dollar home sales in Naples continue to skyrocket with the $2 million and above single family home market increasing 83 percent from 48 sales in the first quarter of 2013 to 88 sales in the first quarter of 2014, according to the 2014 First Quarter Market Report released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island). Overall closed sales increased 5 percent from 2,237 in the first quarter of 2013 to 2,352 in the first quarter of 2014. However, closed sales in all price categories above $300,000 increased by double digits with the $2 million and above price category experiencing the highest increase of 80 percent from 61 sales in the first quarter of 2013 to 110 sales in the first quarter of 2014.
Overall, homes in the $300,000 and below price category realized the biggest median closed price adjustment from $159,000 in the first quarter of 2013 to $173,000 in the first quarter of 2014, which reflected a 9 percent increase.
“NABOR reports statistics based on activity in the Southwest Florida MLS [multiple listing system],” said Pat Pitocchi, NABOR® president and corporate trainer at Downing-Frye Realty. “However, the system does not compile all commercial real estate activity or new construction activity.”
According to Wes Kunkle, a commercial broker at Kunkle Realty and NABOR® president in 2013, activity has increased in commercial real estate for the first quarter as well. Activity was also impressive in the new home construction market during the first quarter according to Brett Brown, Director of Sales and Managing Broker for Fiddler’s Creek Realty, Inc.
In the first quarter of 2014, a total of 270 homes with a median closed price of $1 million and above exchanged hands in Collier County (excluding Marco Island), up 65 percent from 176 closed sales in that category during the first quarter of 2013, according to the report.
“The Naples area housing market does not appear to be slowing down,” said Pitocchi. “REALTORS are busy; especially agents who are showing homes priced over $1 million. In addition, for the first quarter of 2014, cash sales are continuing to dominate the market as shown by sales of 74 percent versus financed sales of 26 percent.”
Inventory in all price ranges has continued to decline. In the first quarter of 2014 there were 4,405 available properties, a 14 percent decrease from the 5,136 available during the same quarter last year.
As reflected in the statistics, the tight supply and high demand of homes is not triggering dramatic price increases. The median closed price in the price segments above $300,000 increased 9 percent from $540,000 in the first quarter of 2013 to $590,000 in the first quarter 2014.
The NABOR® 2014 First Quarter Report provides comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. The NABOR® First Quarter 2014 sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings:
- Overall closed sales increased 5 percent from 2,237 sales in the first quarter 2013 to 2,352 sales in the first quarter of 2014.
- The overall median closed price increased 15 percent from $230,000 in the first quarter 2013 to $265,000 in the first quarter 2014. The overall median closed price of homes $300,000 and under increased 9 percent from $159,000 in the first quarter 2013 to $173,000 in the first quarter 2014.
- The overall average days on market are at 95 for the first quarter of 2014.
- Overall pending sales increased 45 percent for homes $2 million and above from 120 contracts in the first quarter of 2013 to 174 contracts in the first quarter of 2014.
- Inventory for condominiums decreased 23 percent from 2,758 units in the first quarter of 2013 to 2,110 units in the first quarter of 2014, while inventory for single-family homes decreased only 3 percent from 2,378 units in the first quarter of 2013 to 2,295 units in the first quarter of 2014.
The NABOR® March 2014 Report reflects sales statistics presented in chart format, with these overall single-family and condominium statistics:
- Overall closed sales increased 42 percent in the $2 million and above price category from 245 sales in the 12-months ending March 2013 to 348 sales in the 12-months ending March 2014.
- Overall pending sales increased 4 percent from 10,633 contracts in the 12-months ending March 2013 to 11,083 contracts in the 12-months ending March 2014.
- Overall median closed price increased 15 percent from $215,000 in the 12-months ending March 2013 to $248,000 in the 12-months ending March 2014, with the under $300,000 price segment experiencing the largest increase of 11 percent from $148,000 in the 12-months ending March 2013 to $165,000 in the 12-months ending March 2014.
- Closed sales for condominiums increased 10 percent from 4,694 sales in the 12-months ending March 2013 to 5,140 sales in the 12-months ending March 2014.
- The median closed price of single-family homes increased 25 percent from $248,000 in the 12-months ending March 2013 to $310,000 in the 12-months ending March 2014.
“According to the report, distressed sales – foreclosures and short sales – now account for only one in ten transactions,” said Steve Barker, Advising Broker for Equity Realty. “This represents an important milestone and indicates that Naples has returned to a stable real estate market.”
“Despite a low inventory, sales are strong because the inventory is continually being sold and replenished. List your home with a REALTOR® who can help you price it correctly and it will likely sell quickly,” said Pitocchi.
The Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®) is an established organization (Chartered in 1949) whose members have a positive and progressive impact on the Naples Community. NABOR® is a local board of REALTORS® and real estate professionals with a legacy of nearly 60 years serving 4,000 plus members. NABOR® is a member of the Florida Realtors and the National Association of REALTORS®, which is the largest association in the United States with more than 1.3 million members and over 1,400 local board of REALTORS® nationwide. NABOR® is structured to provide programs and services to its membership through various committees and the NABOR® Board of Directors, all of whose members are non-paid volunteers.
The term REALTOR® is a registered collective membership mark which identifies a real estate professional who is a member of the National Association of REALTORS® and who subscribe to its strict Code of Ethics.
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NABOR: Naples area may shift to sellers’ market with real estate recovery
April Housing Scorecard: Progress as Values Rise and Sales Remain Strong
Naples, FL is a newcomer to the Top 10 Turnaround Town list this quarter, powered by a 13.38 percent year-over-year increase in median list prices, seventh best in the nation overall, and a 35.94 percent reduction in for sale inventory. The median age of inventory in Naples is down 13.64 percent compared to a year ago. Demand in Naples, FL has been fueled by foreign buyers as the MSA attracts 6 percent of Florida?s international sales. While not everyone is bullish on Naples, sales are up and prices are moderating. The latest sales data from the Naples Board of Realtors confirms that the market is in the midst of change, but moving in the right direction. Sales of November single family homes are up 8 percent from November 2010 but sale prices are down 13 percent. Inventory is down 21 percent from a year ago.
“This past year, in general, has been swift for buyers putting pen to paper, however since our season (generally Christmas time through Easter) has started, our buyer clients have been intent on getting something under contract. This is a different perspective than many of our clients had last season. Our last two listings went under contract in 30 days and both closed for 97% of asking price,?said Rowan Samuel, Realtor. ?We have been saying this all along; if you are priced competitively to the market, your home will sell. The inventory in our area continues to decrease, and the presence of short sales and foreclosures has reduced dramatically. In some of the more popular areas, we have not seen a distressed sale enter the market in months.” Read the full article on realtor.com
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June Existing-Home Sales Reach Recent Highs
Area home prices to jump by double-digits in next year, research group says
RISMEDIA, Monday, February 10, 2014
Led by a resurgence in single-family production, housing will continue its climb toward higher ground in 2014, but builders are still confronting several challenges, according to economists speaking at the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) International Builders’ Show (IBS) in Las Vegas.
“My single-family forecast for 2014 is pretty aggressive—822,000 starts, which is likely 200,000 more than 2013,” says NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe. “There are five key points to the turnaround. Consumers are back, pent-up demand is emerging, there is a growing need for new construction, distressed sales are diminishing and builders see it.” Consumer confidence has returned to pre-recession levels and household balance sheets are on the mend. Year-over-year household formations are on the rise and now averaging 620,000 compared to just 500,000 during the housing downturn. At the height of the housing boom, the U.S. was producing 1.4 million additional households each year. Meanwhile, new-home sales are averaging just 8.7 percent of total home sales—barely half the historical average of 16.1 percent.
In the midst of the Great Recession, the cumulative lost number of existing home sales between 2007 and 2011 totaled more than 4 million, Crowe says. Moreover, the percentage of mortgages seriously delinquent has fallen and the decline has been larger in markets that had the highest rates.
In a sign that builders are well aware of the trend now under way, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), which measures builder sentiment in the single-family housing market, has been above the 50 mark for the past eight months. Any reading above 50 means that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.
However, Crowe cautioned that builders still face several headwinds, including rising building material prices, persistently tight mortgage credit conditions, difficulties in obtaining accurate appraisals and limited availability in labor and developed lots.
Moreover, gridlock and uncertainty in Washington threaten to harm consumer confidence and future housing demand.
NAHB forecast for 2014:
• 1.15 million total housing starts in 2014, up 24.5 percent from 2013’s 928,000 units.
• Single-family production projected to rise 32 percent to 822,000 units and surge an additional 41 percent to 1.16 million units in 2015.
• 333,000 multifamily starts, up 9 percent from 306,000 in 2013.
• Single-family home sales are projected to hit 584,000 this year, a 35.9 percent increase above last year’s 430,000 sales.
• Residential remodeling activity is expected to register a modest gain this year over 2013.
• A slow and steady housing recovery will bring nationwide housing starts to 71 percent of normal by fourth quarter 2014 and 93 percent of normal by the end of 2015, Crowe says.
• On a state level, the top 20 percent of states will be back to normal production levels by the end of 2015, compared to the bottom 20 percent, which will still be below 84 percent.
Mortgage rates up, but housing still affordable
As the economy strengthens and the Federal Reserve tapers its buy-back of mortgage-backed securities, there will be upward pressure on mortgage rates, but not enough to harm housing affordability, according to Frank Nothaft, vice president and chief economist at Freddie Mac.
“Regarding mortgage rates, we’ve gone from dirt cheap to cheap, and I think we will see a gradual rise of about a half a percentage point to 5 percent in 2014,” says Nothaft. But even then, he says, “most markets will remain quite affordable.”
Nationally, Nothaft expects that home sales and prices will each rise about 5 percent in 2014, and that housing starts will post a 20 percent gain.
“As we move into the 2014 home buying season, it will be a market dominated by home buying originations rather than refinance originations,” says Nothaft. “This will be the first time since 2000 that purchase originations will dominate the market.”
He says the reason for the change is because so many households looking to refinance have already done so, and as mortgage rates gradually rise, fewer homeowners will look to refinance. Further, purchase originations are expected to increase as the overall housing market strengthens.
Pent-up demand will fuel growth
In the aftermath of the Great Recession, there is a significant pent-up demand to form households and even to build homes, says David Berson, senior vice president and chief economist at Nationwide Insurance.
“At least 3 million fewer households formed over the past five years than would normally have been expected,” he says, noting that during this period many college graduates were forced to double-up or move in with their parents. Stronger job growth and a strengthening economy in 2014 should lead to a rise in household formations, which will be important to supplement housing demand.
“I think this will be a pretty good year for home construction,” says Berson. “There will be a big increase in single-family construction, but not as much for multifamily.”
For more information, visit www.nahb.org.
