By Liz Dominguez
With the way things are forecast to go in the housing market in 2021, buyers might be feeling a little overwhelmed. Home sales are predicted to increase by 21.9% with home values expected to rise 10.5% by December 2021, according to a recent Zillow report.
However, while some buyers may think it wise to wait for the market to cool, Zillow’s data shows they may benefit more from simply diving in—of course, if they are financially prepared to do so—as the possibility of rising mortgage rates could bring affordability challenges in the future. Additionally, if the persistent inventory shortage keeps up, this will continue pushing home prices even higher. And with moving trends’ seismic shift due to the ongoing coronavirus pandemic, areas that were once affordable are seeing increased activity and increased home values.
An example, Zillow reports that today’s average mortgage rate is 2.68% for a 30-year fixed loan. With a 20% down payment, that means it would cost a typical U.S. buyer about $861 per month, plus taxes and insurance, to purchase a home. However, if home values rise 8% and interest rates climb to 3%, that same house would cost buyers $969 per month. And with a 12% spike in home values, the scenario would be monthly payments of $1,005.
“The best time to buy a home should always be when it’s the right time for your family. However, home shoppers would be wise to gather as much information as possible and use it to make smart decisions that maximize their buying power,” said Zillow home trends expert Amanda Pendleton. “For someone ready to buy, jumping in sooner rather than later could mean a savings of hundreds of dollars a month. Or, more likely, it could mean having to make fewer tradeoffs to stay within budget.”
The same goes for refinancing, said Zillow. Right now, those refinancing on a typical U.S. home loan would pay $861 per month, but if rates increase 3%, that would tack on $36 per month. And if rates increased to 3.5%, monthly payments would rise to $956.
“Rates are near historic lows, and we expect rates to hover near current levels through the first quarter of 2021. Although we expect rates to slightly increase as the economy recovers from COVID-19, it remains to be seen when that recovery truly gains traction. While these rate fluctuations may seem like small changes, when homeowners do the math, it is clear how lower rates can significantly reduce monthly payments for the life of the mortgage,” said Zillow Senior Economist Chris Glynn. “Like with any consumer decision, it is important to be informed, research the market and shop around to find the best deal possible. Qualified mortgage professionals can help individual consumers identify the loan rate, repayment term and structure that meet their needs.”
Here’s the market scenario for those considering taking the leap:
– According to Freddie Mac, mortgage rates remained flat compared to the previous week, with the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaging 2.73%.
– The markets are bustling. According to the National Association of REALTORS®’s Pending Home Sales Index, pending transactions may have dipped slightly (0.3%) in December, but YoY, they are up 21.4%.
– Realtor.com® reports that housing inventory in the 50 largest U.S. metros declined by 41.8% YoY in January.
As for the future? NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun expects strong home sales momentum, with sales up roughly 8 to 12% in 2021 vs. 2020, as well as prices rising more moderately, about 4% nationwide.
Liz Dominguez is RISMedia’s senior online editor.
Naples Real Estate Market Sees Another Record Month in Closings
Naples, Fla. (November 20, 2020) – According to the October 2020 Market Report, released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), the Naples real estate market continues to see strong demand in both the single family and condominium markets. Buyers are getting a jump on the winter seasonal market as shown by the reduced inventory, increase in multiple bids and the jump in closed sales. Closed sales activity for the overall market increased 65.2 percent to 1,249 closed sales in October 2020 from 756 closed sales in October 2019.
Inventory continues to be a challenge for buyers seeking to purchase a home in Naples. While the overall market inventory in October 2020 decreased 33.8 percent to 3,543 from 5,351 in October 2019, overall pending sales for the same time period increased 73.0 percent to 1,708 from 987 in October 2019. With strong demand, sellers are receiving multiple competitive offers on their listings during what is a traditionally slower time of year. Offers are coming in more quickly as well, with homes sold during October 2020 staying on the market 11.5 percent fewer days than October 2019. The average number of days on the market until sale was 92 in October 2020 compared to 104 days in October 2020.
“In a typical year, October would be a time when inventory numbers rise as sellers prepare for increased demand during season,” said a Broker. “However, the pandemic disrupted traditional seasonal patterns. Buyers are motivated to seek larger, more comfortable homes that accommodate their work-from-home lifestyles.”
In a recent interview in Inc. magazine, Bill Gates acknowledged the nationwide, post-pandemic migration of families to bigger houses in smaller communities with less traffic. Annual market statistics support that trend is happening locally. During the period of January through October 2020, there were 9,785 closed sales in Naples, which represents a 13.8 percent increase over the same period in 2019. With more active buyers on the market, housing prices are seeing moderate but sustainable growth.
The October Market Report showed that single-family homes saw an increase in the median closed sales price of 12.1 percent to $458,000 during January to October 2020, up from $408,500 during the same period in 2019. Condominium median closed sales prices also saw an uptick of 5.8 percent to $275,000 during January to October 2020, over $260,000 during the same period in 2019.
Brenda Fioretti, Managing Broker at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Florida Realty, notes that 30.6 percent of homes on the market experienced a price increase during October. “Sellers are receiving multiple, competitive bids on their listings. So, it is important for buyers to make a serious offer when they find the right home.”
The NABOR® October 2020 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings:
| CATEGORIES |
Oct 2019 |
Oct 2020 |
CHANGE |
| Total closed sales (month/month) |
756 |
1,249 |
+65.2% |
| Total pending sales (homes under contract) (month/month) |
987 |
1,708 |
+73.0% |
| Median closed price (month/month) |
$329,950 |
$385,000 |
+16.7% |
| Total active listings (inventory) |
5,351 |
3,543 |
-33.8% |
| Average days on market |
104 |
92 |
-11.5% |
| Single-family closed sales (month/month) |
389 |
580 |
+49.1% |
| Single-family median closed price (month/month) |
$395,000 |
$523,000 |
+32.4% |
| Single-family inventory |
2,675 |
1,501 |
-43.9% |
| Condominium closed sales (month/month) |
367 |
624 |
+70.0% |
| Condominium median closed price (month/month) |
$255,000 |
$284,500 |
+11.6% |
| Condominium inventory |
2,676 |
2,042 |
-23.7% |
If you are looking to buy or sell a home in Naples, contact a Naples REALTOR® who has the ability to provide a virtual showing, an accurate market comparison or negotiate a sale. A REALTOR® can ensure your next purchase or sale in the Naples area is a success. Search for your dream home and find a Naples REALTOR® on Naplesarea.com.
“September is typically the slowest month for REALTORS® in Naples,” said Brenda Fioretti, Managing Broker at Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Florida Realty, who added, “but agents were very busy this September as the number of showings increased 80 percent to 35,465 appointments compared to 18,745 appointments in September 2019.”
Median closed prices for September increased 18.2 percent to $384,000 from $325,000 in September 2019. Broker analysts reviewing the market data also said they saw an uptick in multiple offer occurrences in September and advise buyers facing this situation not to delay with an offer if they like a property.
Inventory continues to be a challenge for buyers in Naples. In September, inventory decreased 32.2 percent to 3,980 properties from 5,873 properties in September 2019. A Broker said, “Multi-million properties are being grabbed up with many buyers making an offer sight-unseen. There are currently less than 500 properties on the market over $2 million.” Not surprisingly, closed sales of homes above $2 million have increased 30.7 percent in the 12-months ending September 2020.
According to the September Market Report, 9.9 percent of the sales reported in September were from new construction sources. But broker analysts say this number does not adequately reflect actual sales activity for the new construction market as sources indicate that builders are just too busy to input every sale in the MLS.
The NABOR® September 2020 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings:
| CATEGORIES |
Sept 2019 |
Sept 2020 |
CHANGE |
| Total closed sales (month/month) |
717 |
1,096 |
+52.9% |
| Total pending sales (homes under contract) (month/month) |
823 |
1,509 |
+83.4% |
| Median closed price (month/month) |
$325,000 |
$384,000 |
+18.2% |
| Total active listings (inventory) |
5,873 |
3,980 |
-32.2% |
| Average days on market |
102 |
90 |
-11.8% |
| Single-family closed sales (month/month) |
367 |
577 |
+57.2% |
| Single-family median closed price (month/month) |
$402,000 |
$474,000 |
+17.9% |
| Single-family inventory |
3,057 |
1,710 |
-44.1% |
| Condominium closed sales (month/month) |
350 |
519 |
+48.3% |
| Condominium median closed price (month/month) |
$246,195 |
$290,000 |
+17.8% |
| Condominium inventory |
2,816 |
2,270 |
-19.4% |
“There has been a 19.6 percent increase in closed sales of homes with a minimum of four bedrooms over the last year,” said a Broker. “This data reflects another shift in buying behavior as a result of the pandemic. The demand for single family homes with additional space to accommodate a home office and a virtual schoolroom is increasing.” The September Report showed a decrease of 37.9 percent to 779 properties on the market with four or more bedrooms compared to 1,255 in September.
Ave Maria, Florida continues to set sales records with its best month ever reporting 60 new home sales in August 2020. Announcing 309 new home sales year-to-date, the master-planned community has already surpassed its total sales for the entirety of 2019. Home sales were reported from the four residential builders in Ave Maria — CC Homes, Del Webb Naples, Lennar, and Pulte Homes.
Since the opening of the master planned community in 2007, Ave Maria continues its strategic approach of using smart growth principles in residential and commercial land development. As the first town developed under the ground-breaking Rural Land Stewardship Area program, Ave Maria is committed to the conservation of the area’s natural resources and wildlife and preservation of 17,000 acres in and around the community. Ave Maria has a walkable town center, parks, recreational spaces, various housing types from condominiums to attached villas to single-family homes, shops, restaurants and more than 100 miles of walking/running trails and sidewalks.
“The sales surge in Ave Maria continues to prove unstoppable with 24 new homes reported in the first week of September. We continue to see an unprecedented demand as interest continues to rise,” comments Cee Cee Marinelli, Director of Development for Ave Maria. “Home sales have more than doubled month over month for August. With more people spending time at home, people are evaluating where and how they live, and Ave Maria is an attractive choice. With an array of floor plans and amenities, home shoppers are flocking in droves to our Southwest Florida development.”
The active lifestyle and robust amenities program in Ave Maria provide new residents with an instant source of socialization and recreation, whether on-site or virtual. On-site amenities feature open spaces for its homeowners such as water park, soccer and baseball fields, fitness center, amphitheater, dog park, trails, bocce and tennis courts, Town Center with Publix Supermarket, commercial center with Mobil gas station, private schools from preschool through university, and on-site free events throughout the year. The Ave Maria Master Association organizes on-going events for residents including virtual trivia, happy hour, fitness classes and club meetings while also providing access to outdoor recreation with proper social distancing guidelines ensuring everyone can enjoy having fun safely.
News release Barron Collier Companies
Photo: Heatherton model, Pulte Homes at Avalon Park, Ave Maria, Florida. avemaria.com
To arrange an in person or virtual tour of Ave Maria, Florida, contact David at David@DavidFlorida.com or 239-285-1086.
Naples, Fla. (September 18, 2020) – Closed sales activity in the Naples area housing market maintained steady momentum through August with a 35.2 percent increase in overall closed sales to 1,098 closed sales from 812 in August 2019. According to the August 2020 Market Report released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), homebuying activity in Naples during the last three months exceeded activity reported in the first three months of 2020, more typically known as our peak resident season. Broker analysts reviewing the report predict this momentum, driven from more closed sales, more new pending sales, and more new listings compared to a year ago, will set the Naples area housing market up for continued positive performance into the fall months.
The market report showed August had the highest month-over-month increase in pending sales compared to any other month reported in 2020, with a 70.4 percent increase to 1,479 pending sales from 868 pending sales in August 2019. Not surprising, homebuyers seeking single-family homes continued to tilt the scales in August as the report showed a 76.4 percent increase for this home category, while pending sales of condominiums increased 63.9 percent.
In comparison, this summer’s closed sales have eclipsed our peak season’s closed sales as there were a combined 3,133 closed sales reported during June, July and August compared to a combined 2,659 closed sales reported in January, February and March.
August’s inventory decreased 29.1 percent to 4,174 properties from 5,887 properties in August 2019. However, despite the month-over-month drop in inventory during August, there were more new listings added over the summer months than new listings added during the peak season months. Broker analysts were quick to point out that some of the new listings added during the summer were likely listings that had been pulled off the market during the Great Lockdown, which occurred in April and May.
“Increased buyer demand is helping to move some of our old inventory,” said a Broker.This increased buyer demand is illustrated by the number of days on the market in August, which decreased 5.9 percent to 96 days compared to 102 days in August 2019. The report also showed the Naples area has only 184 single-family homes under $300,000 available to buyers. And inventory for single-family homes between $300,000 and $500,000 decreased 54.9 percent in August to 446 single-family homes from 990 single-family homes in August 2019.
Overall median closed prices in August increased 26.7 percent to $399,000 from $315,000 in August 2019. Single-family home median prices increased 15.7 percent to $457,000 from $395,000 in August 2019, and condominium median closed prices increased 18.4 percent in August to $290,000 from $245,000 in August 2019.
However, keep in mind that the median closed price is a figure that is “in the middle,” as half of homes listed are above this price and exactly half are below this price. Broker analysts reviewing the report were quick to point out that one sale of a high-worth property (e.g., $2 million+) during a given month can greatly influence this figure, and that it doesn’t mean all home prices increased. As such, when evaluating pricing trends, brokers prefer to use the 12-months ending median closed price statistics. For the 12-months ending August 2020, the median closed price increased 5.4 percent. Interestingly, using this metric, the August report showed median closed prices for homes between $300,000 and $2 million have actually decreased.
The NABOR® August 2020 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings:
| CATEGORIES |
Aug 2019 |
Aug 2020 |
CHANGE |
| Total closed sales (month/month) |
812 |
1,098 |
+35.2% |
| Total pending sales (homes under contract) (month/month) |
868 |
1,479 |
+70.4% |
| Median closed price (month/month) |
$315,000 |
$399,000 |
+26.7% |
| Total active listings (inventory) |
5,887 |
4,174 |
-29.1% |
| Average days on market |
102 |
96 |
-5.9% |
| Single-family closed sales (month/month) |
421 |
583 |
+38.5% |
| Single-family median closed price (month/month) |
$395,000 |
$457,000 |
+15.7% |
| Single-family inventory |
3,041 |
1,784 |
-41.3% |
| Condominium closed sales (month/month) |
391 |
515 |
+31.7% |
| Condominium median closed price (month/month) |
$245,000 |
$290,000 |
+18.4% |
| Condominium inventory |
2,846 |
2,390 |
-16.0% |
Geographically, closed sales of properties in the Naples Beach area (34102, 34103, 34108) during August increased 84.4 percent and saw an 82 percent increase in median closed price; the South Naples area (34112, 34113) reported the most new listings in August, with a 32.7 percent increase; and the East Naples area (34114, 34117, 34120, 34137) reported the biggest drop in months of inventory to 2.9 months of inventory in August from 6.4 months of inventory in August 2019.
The August report shows sellers are at an advantage with decreasing inventory and rising prices. If you are looking to buy or sell a home in Naples, contact a Naples REALTOR® who has the ability to provide a virtual showing, an accurate market comparison or negotiate a sale. A REALTOR® can ensure your next purchase or sale in the Naples area is a success. Search for your dream home and find a Naples REALTOR® on Naplesarea.com.
Naples, Fla. (August 21, 2020) – The Naples housing market experienced a continued surge in activity during July, which resulted in a 57.3 percent increase in pending sales (homes under contract) for the month. Closed sales during July increased 35.4 percent compared to July 2019 – greatly surpassing June’s closed sales activity following the lifting of COVID-19 restrictions. However, a decreasing supply of inventory, which broker analysts believe is caused by heightened homebuying interest this summer, is making it difficult to keep up with the strong buyer demand.
“Compared to markets on the east coast of Florida and in big cities like Chicago and New York, the Naples real estate market is quite affordable,” said a Broker. “People aren’t just looking for homes in low density areas in Florida, they want to live in a town that fits their lifestyle. And Naples provides a much better lifestyle for the money.”
The tapestry of out-of-state license plates on local roads may be an unfamiliar summer sight to local residents, but according to broker analysts reviewing the July 2020 Market Report released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®), which tracks home listings and sales within Collier County (excluding Marco Island), these visitors are here to do more than just golf and visit the beach this summer.
“A considerable number of buyers already looked at homes during season [January and February], prior to COVID-19 restrictions,” said NABOR® President Lauren Melo, PA, Licensed Real Estate Broker with Florida’s Realty Specialists. “They watched and waited during those months of restrictions and are now back to buy a home this summer.”
There were 15,634 showings during July, less than half the number of showings during June (36,912), yet pending sales increased which indicates that properties were purchased virtually, sight unseen. July’s pending sales spiked to 1,446 pending sales in July 2020 from 919 pending sales in July 2019.
The majority of sales that resulted in the 35.4 percent increase in overall closed sales during July occurred in the single-family home market, which saw a 42.8 percent increase in closed sales compared to a 27.3 percent increase reported in the condominium market. Concern over the pandemic has compelled many people to spend the majority of their time indoors, at home. As a result, buyers are looking for single-family homes that offer more personal space, and more space to work from home and home-school children. They want their own backyard, their own private pool, and private garages that single-family homes offer.
Overall inventory decreased 28.8 percent in July to 4,390 properties from 6,168 properties in July 2019. However, many sellers were not hesitant about entering or staying in the market this summer. A steady rise in consumer confidence resulted in 1,193 new listings added to the overall inventory during July (a 21.7 percent increase compared to July 2019). Of those 1,193 new listings, 572 were single-family homes and 621 were condominiums. The report also showed fewer homes were terminated/expired/withdrawn from the MLS in July (599) compared to June (1,677).
For those who are considering selling, now is a good time to jump in the market to take advantage of the high demand for Naples property, according to broker analysts. Plus, with fewer homes on the market for buyers to purchase, this may be the time for your house to stand out from the crowd with less competition and more eyes on your property.
“This is a summer of surprises. New listings surged, closed sales surged, pending sales surged, median closed priced increased and days on the market dropped,” said a Broker who added, “There are several factors in play that are fueling the strong summer real estate activity: 1) winter visitors pushed off buying until the summer; 2) people’s ability to work remotely is convincing them that it’s okay to relocate; 3) more East Coast residents are migrating to our West Coast; 4) Naples continues to be a more affordable alternative to high-tax living in other areas of the country; and 5) interest rates are low.”
While the overall median closed price for July increased 13.5 percent to $368,750 from $325,000 in July 2019, the report also showed there were 829 properties that reduced their list prices during July. It appears sellers recalibrated their pricing and/or were striking new deals.
The report showed closed sales of properties priced above $500,000 increased over 50 percent in July, with the $500,000 to $1 million price category reporting the highest increase (99.1 percent) to 223 closed sales in July 2020 from 112 closed sales in July 2019.
The NABOR® July 2020 Market Reports provide comparisons of single-family home and condominium sales (via the Southwest Florida MLS), price ranges, and geographic segmentation and includes an overall market summary. NABOR® sales statistics are presented in chart format, including these overall (single-family and condominium) findings:
|
CATEGORIES
|
July 2019
|
July 2020
|
CHANGE
|
|
Total closed sales (month/month)
|
852 |
1,154 |
+35.4% |
| Total pending sales (homes under contract) (month/month) |
919 |
1,446 |
+57.3% |
|
Median closed price (month/month)
|
$325,000 |
$368,750 |
+13.5% |
|
Total active listings (inventory)
|
6,168 |
4,390 |
-28.8% |
|
Average days on market
|
104 |
92 |
-11.5% |
|
Single-family closed sales (month/month)
|
446 |
637 |
+42.8%
|
|
Single-family median closed price (month/month)
|
$405,000 |
$462,000 |
+14.1% |
|
Single-family inventory
|
3,203 |
1,957 |
-38.9% |
|
Condominium closed sales (month/month)
|
406 |
517 |
+27.3% |
|
Condominium median closed price (month/month)
|
$240,000 |
$272,500 |
+13.5% |
|
Condominium inventory
|
2,965 |
2,433 |
-17.9% |
“Single-family home inventory dropped 38.7 percent in July to 1,957 homes,” remarked Melo. “This is the lowest it’s been since October 2015. But even at this level, Naples has 4.5 months of supply in the single-family home sector.”
In comparison, Naples had 5.2 months of supply in the single-family homes sector in June, which was much higher than Florida Realtors® statewide reported June single-family home figure – 2.8 months of supply.
According to Florida Realtors®, “The benchmark for a balanced market (favoring neither buyer nor seller) is 5.5 months of inventory.” The July 2020 Market Report released by the Naples Area Board of REALTORS® (NABOR®) showed 5.2 months of inventory (single-family homes and condominiums).
Even though interest rates on mortgages remain low, 43 percent of July’s closed sales were cash sales.
The July report shows consumer confidence is growing for both sellers and buyers in Naples this summer. If you are looking to buy or sell a home in Naples, contact a Naples REALTOR® who has the ability to provide a virtual showing, an accurate market comparison or negotiate a sale. A REALTOR® can ensure your next purchase or sale in the Naples area is a success. Search for your dream home and find a Naples REALTOR® on Naplesarea.com.